Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000220 0.000245 0.000273 0.000305 0.000341 0.000379 0.000424
2025-02-09 0.000184 0.000219 0.000260 0.000309 0.000367 0.000435 0.000519
2025-02-16 0.000158 0.000199 0.000248 0.000312 0.000392 0.000489 0.000617
2025-02-23 0.000136 0.000180 0.000236 0.000311 0.000410 0.000536 0.000711
2025-03-02 0.000118 0.000162 0.000221 0.000305 0.000420 0.000574 0.000795
2025-03-09 0.000104 0.000149 0.000212 0.000303 0.000435 0.000617 0.000890
2025-03-16 0.000093 0.000139 0.000204 0.000303 0.000451 0.000663 0.000993
2025-03-23 0.000085 0.000131 0.000198 0.000305 0.000468 0.000712 0.001103
2025-03-30 0.000077 0.000122 0.000191 0.000303 0.000480 0.000752 0.001204
2025-04-06 0.000071 0.000116 0.000187 0.000304 0.000497 0.000802 0.001323
2025-04-13 0.000065 0.000110 0.000182 0.000305 0.000512 0.000849 0.001442
2025-04-20 0.000060 0.000103 0.000175 0.000301 0.000519 0.000883 0.001539
2025-04-27 0.000057 0.000102 0.000177 0.000314 0.000557 0.000974 0.001749
2025-05-04 0.000054 0.000098 0.000175 0.000319 0.000581 0.001043 0.001927
2025-05-11 0.000050 0.000094 0.000172 0.000322 0.000603 0.001111 0.002108
2025-05-18 0.000046 0.000089 0.000168 0.000321 0.000617 0.001166 0.002271
2025-05-25 0.000042 0.000084 0.000161 0.000315 0.000621 0.001202 0.002401
2025-06-01 0.000039 0.000079 0.000156 0.000314 0.000632 0.001253 0.002566
2025-06-08 0.000037 0.000076 0.000153 0.000314 0.000648 0.001313 0.002753
2025-06-15 0.000035 0.000073 0.000150 0.000315 0.000665 0.001378 0.002958
2025-06-22 0.000032 0.000070 0.000146 0.000313 0.000675 0.001430 0.003138
2025-06-29 0.000030 0.000067 0.000143 0.000315 0.000694 0.001500 0.003365
2025-07-06 0.000029 0.000065 0.000141 0.000316 0.000710 0.001566 0.003588